The classic conditional probability trap that separates the statisticians from the button-mashers. With a 50% crit chance, the probability of both hits being crits isn't 50% — it's 25%. Each hit is an independent event, so you multiply the probabilities: 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25 or 25%. Watching gamers argue about this is like observing undergrads discover Bayes' theorem for the first time. The number of PhDs who still get this wrong would shock you.
When Probability Meets Gaming: The Critical Hit Conundrum

probability-memes, math-memes, gaming-memes, statistics-memes, conditional-probability-memes | ScienceHumor.io
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