Fire emblem Memes

The classic conditional probability trap that separates the statisticians from the button-mashers. With a 50% crit chance, the probability of both hits being crits isn't 50% — it's 25%. Each hit is an independent event, so you multiply the probabilities: 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25 or 25%. Watching gamers argue about this is like observing undergrads discover Bayes' theorem for the first time. The number of PhDs who still get this wrong would shock you.