Independent events Memes

The classic conditional probability trap that separates the statisticians from the button-mashers. With a 50% crit chance, the probability of both hits being crits isn't 50% — it's 25%. Each hit is an independent event, so you multiply the probabilities: 0.5 × 0.5 = 0.25 or 25%. Watching gamers argue about this is like observing undergrads discover Bayes' theorem for the first time. The number of PhDs who still get this wrong would shock you.

The doctor's statement is giving me heart palpitations! 💀 The gambler's fallacy strikes again! Just because a coin lands heads 20 times in a row doesn't mean it's "due" for tails. Each surgery is an independent event with the same 50% chance regardless of previous outcomes. The mathematician's terror face says it all - they're not comforted, they're HORRIFIED because they know they might be patient #21 about to balance that statistical ledger! Probability doesn't have a memory or a sense of fairness. Your chances aren't improving - they're exactly the same as they've always been!