Bayesian Memes

Posts tagged with Bayesian

Just Leave It As An Exercise

Just Leave It As An Exercise
The academic equivalent of choosing violence! This technical writer took "passive-aggressive" to PhD level with increasingly condescending explanations of complex statistical formulas. Starting with "if you're not an idiot" and escalating to "for those who sniffed too much Elmer's glue in second grade" is peak scientific saltiness. The formulas appear to be related to Gaussian processes and Bayesian statistics, but the real mathematical achievement here is calculating exactly how many ways to insult the reader's intelligence. The writer even helpfully explains that "exp is exactly what you think it is" – which is clearly the mathematical notation for exasperation.

New Probability Experiment Just Dropped

New Probability Experiment Just Dropped
Hold up, statisticians! Who puts CHILDREN in an URN?! 😱 This "probability experiment" went from standard coin-flip scenarios to oddly specific child-storage solutions real quick! The funniest part is how casually it transitions from "following classical probability arguments" to "we consider a large urn containing two children" like that's a totally normal thing to do. Next week's experiment: "We place three professors in a washing machine to calculate spin cycle probability." Stats professors really need to workshop their example problems!

When Irrelevant Information Attacks

When Irrelevant Information Attacks
When probability meets confusion! The first guy thinks the Tuesday detail creates a conditional probability problem (2/3 or 66.6%). But wait—the second guy correctly points out it's just 51.8% (roughly 50/50 gender odds). The Tuesday information is completely irrelevant! It's a classic Bayesian trap where our brains desperately try to incorporate every detail into the calculation. The day of birth has zero impact on gender probability—yet our pattern-seeking minds get bamboozled anyway. Next time someone tries to trick you with extra variables, channel your inner statistician and ask: "Does this information actually matter to the outcome?" Usually not.

The Math In The Paper Is Honestly Pretty Cool

The Math In The Paper Is Honestly Pretty Cool
Student: "Will we ever use Bayesian statistics, numerical methods, or geometry?" Meanwhile, the professor is literally calculating the optimal trajectory to snipe someone in a video game using advanced mathematical formulas. Nothing says "practical application" quite like using differential equations to headshot noobs instead of teaching your class. That PhD is finally paying off!