Forecasting Memes

Posts tagged with Forecasting

The Original Weather App
Earth-science Climate Science
17 days ago 3.3K views 0 shares
The Original Weather App
Before meteorological science got sophisticated, folks were really just vibing with rocks on strings! "John's Weather Forecasting Stone" perfectly captures the hilariously primitive methods people used before Admiral FitzRoy established the first weather forecasting system in 1861. The logic is impeccable though—if the stone is wet, it's raining! If it's gone entirely? Probably should head to the basement because that tornado isn't messing around. The beautiful part is that this "technology" has a 100% accuracy rate... for current weather. Future predictions? Not so much. Still more reliable than some weather apps I've used!

Cosmic Certainty Vs. Weather Whimsy
Universe Astronomy Climate Science
2 months ago 6.0K views 0 shares
Cosmic Certainty Vs. Weather Whimsy
Sure, we can predict the heat death of the universe in 10 100 years with confidence, but ask us about rain next Tuesday and suddenly science becomes a game of whack-a-mole with a hammer made of chaos theory. Weather systems are basically the toddlers of scientific phenomena—unpredictable, chaotic, and prone to sudden tantrums. The cosmic irony that we can model the eventual collapse of everything with sophisticated equations, but still can't tell you whether to pack an umbrella for your weekend getaway is peak scientific humility. Next time your weather app says "partly cloudy" just mentally translate that to "¯\_(ツ)_/¯ but with scientific backing."

All That Computing Power For A Coin Flip
Math Science Tech
3 months ago 8.7K views 0 shares
All That Computing Power For A Coin Flip
Running 80,000 complex simulations only to conclude "it could go either way" is the statistical equivalent of shrugging your shoulders while wearing a supercomputer as a backpack. Election forecasters build these elaborate Monte Carlo models with fancy algorithms, then deliver insights that your local fortune teller could've provided for $5. The irony is delicious—all that computational firepower just to admit they have absolutely no idea what's going to happen. Next time, maybe just flip a coin and save the electricity?